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  #1  
Old 08-04-2007, 04:39 PM
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gmac78 gmac78 is offline
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Smile Delta Number System- Share your comments

Let me ask you a question. Which bet would you rather take:
-guessing six lotto numbers between 1 and 50 ?
or
-guessing six lotto numbers between 1 and 15 ?
Incredible as it seems, most WINNING LOTTO NUMBERS can be mathematically represented as numbers between 1 and 15 !


This will take some explaining...

HOW IT WORKS:

It's actually a very simple trick. The strategy occurred to me when I thought about how a computer software program would store a winning lotto, keno or lottery number on disk. Storage space is always an issue with computers, so data compression is used whenever possible. To compress a lotto number, the software might store the "delta" of each number instead of the lotto number itself.

What's a delta? The delta is the difference between a number and the previous number.


For example, look at this winning lotto number:


3-9-18-19-27-33


Now here is the same number, represented as deltas:


3-6-9-1-8-6

All the numbers are smaller, yet it still represents, and can be converted back into the same money winning lotto number!

I created this number by subtracting each of the lotto numbers from the number right before it. The first number is still three because there is no number previous to three. For the second number, 9-3=6, third number, 18-9=9, fourth number, 19-18=1, fifth number, 27-19=8 , and sixth number, 33-27=6.

To turn the delta numbers back into the original winning lotto number or keno number, we do a series of simple additions, always adding the result of the addition just done to the next number in the series: The first number is 3, second number, 3+6=9, third number, 9+9=18, fourth number, 18+1=19, fifth number,19+8=27, sixth number, 27+6=33.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?

It means that you can pick lotto numbers and keno numbers - and win money - by guessing numbers between 1 and 15 instead of 1 and 50! Numbers higher than 15 will occur, but 90% of the time they don't! Please bear in mind that all the examples on this page assume a six-digit game, with numbers from 1 - 50. The values in these examples will vary, based on your game (the Analysis Lotto software can adjust these values automatically.)

WHAT'S HAPPENING? WHY DOES THIS WORK?

It works because the smaller numbers represent the typical distribution of winning keno and lotto numbers. In other words, in a six digit game like this, the numbers are usually spaced 1-15 digits from each other. Since this spacing stays somewhat consistent from winning number to winning number, our scheme to represent them as smaller delta numbers works.

By guessing deltas that follow our rules instead of guessing the keno or lotto numbers themselves, your guess will have the same statistical number distribution characteristics as other winning numbers. Does this give you an advantage? Well, read on.

WAIT! THERE'S MORE! IT GETS BETTER!

I studied the distribution of delta numbers in a year's worth of winning numbers from the New York, California and Michigan lotteries. When I did this, I discovered something exciting but at first, truly puzzling. They are not randomly distributed, but instead have a clear bias toward smaller numbers!

Hard to believe? Check out some of the raw data yourself by clicking HERE.

This chart shows the distribution of delta numbers in several months' worth of Michigan lotto drawings:


01 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
02 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
03 ++++++++++++++++++++
04 +++++++++++++++++++++++
05 +++++++++++++++++++++++
06 +++++++++++++++++
07 ++++++++++++++++++++
08 ++++++++++
09 +++++++++++
10 ++++++++++
11 +++++
12 +++++++++++
13 ++++++
14 ++++++++
15 ++++
16 ++++++
17 ++++
18 +
19 ++
20 +++++
21 ++
22
23
24 +


It turns out that nearly 60% of the time, a delta calculated from a winning number will be SIX or less! 30% of the time, the delta will be THREE or less!

In fact, ONE is the single most popular number, occurring almost 15% of the time. That translates to more than half the time in any given six-number pick. The predominance of the number ONE means that adjacent number pairing in winning lotto numbers must be quite common (and it is quite common, just look at any series of winning lotto numbers.)

Therefore, most of the Delta numbers you will be guessing can be picked from an even smaller set of numbers!

Why the low number bias exists in our calculated delta numbers is a challenge to explain. I expected to find a nice even distribution, perhaps clustered around 7 or 8, since that would be the average spacing when 50 is divided by six numbers. Instead, I see numbers below 8 coming up much more often. Why?

Well, there are valid statistical reasons this happens. When you consider that the sum of all the Deltas have to add up to the highest lotto digit, it's apparent that there isn't room for many large numbers. But the patterns I'm seeing still often seem out-of-the-ordinary. One possibility is that the balls in many lotto picking machines at times do not thoroughly mix. The excess of small delta numbers, and especially the predominance of ONE, mean that balls that went in the lotto machine next to each other are coming up together! It's not obvious in the lotto number statistics themselves, but the delta calculation reveals the pattern.

To visualize this, imagine a lotto number machine where the balls all enter lined up in numerical order (like they do here in Michigan.) Now imagine that the numbers are picked without mixing the balls. What would happen? Well the picks would still be somewhat random, of course. But the balls nearest the exit ports of the machine would be the ones most likely to be picked. And All the balls near the exit port are consecutive numbers, since that's how they went into the machine. You might not know what numbers they are. But if you track Deltas, those number pairs would show up as ones. Now, this is an extreme example. But if the balls don't mix enough, you can see how some of these tendencies could remain.

Lending support to this theory are apparent trends (look at the raw data) in the frequency of number ONE in the deltas. The beginning of the chart shows lots of ones. Later on, they taper off, then start appearing more often again. This sort of behavior might occur with changes in the operation of the lotto machine. Perhaps some weeks the balls are allowed to mix longer than at other times, owing to TV schedules or other factors. An astute observer might pay attention to these trends and play lots of adjacent pairs when there are many delta ONEs coming up.

A computer program would be ideal for tracking such delta pattern trends. So I made one! Check it out HERE. You can take a tour of its features HERE.

Need some "hands-on" proof that this can beat your game? Click HERE.

RULES FOR GUESSING:

Okay, here's some tips for guessing numbers for a six-digit, 1 to 50 lotto game. If your game is similar to this, it'll work fine. The program Analysis Lotto can adjust these rules to match your particular lotto or keno game.

Remember that, unlike guessing a lotto number, your delta series can contain the same number more than once, and the delta numbers are not necessarily ordered in ascending (lowest to highest) fashion. Your guess can contain one number higher than 15, but it's better to stick with the numbers 1-15. Why? Nine out of ten delta numbers will be 15 or less. This means that at least half the time, there will be no delta number greater than 15 in a given six-number-pick. As there are more possible numbers greater than 15 than there are numbers less than 15, its just better strategy to focus your guesses on those cases where the odds are in your favor.

For the best odds, keep at least half of your numbers very low, maybe 8 or less. Remember the delta number ONE occurs somewhere at least once in most (but not all) winning numbers.

Also, the sum of the numbers in your guess must not exceed the highest number allowed in the lotto game you are playing (for most lotto games, somewhere close to 50).

Tip: the odds are highest that the sum of all the deltas in a winning number will be within 15 of the highest number allowed.

After you guess, randomly mix up your delta numbers ,and turn them into a lotto number by following the addition sequence.

When the winning number is announced, even if you don't win, turn it into a delta number and compare it to the delta of the number you picked to see how close you really were!

MAKING IT EASIER:

I have a free computer lotto number picker for you, that follows all the rules above. Just click HERE. And of course, to do an even better job, use Analysis Lotto, our powerful lotto software.

If you prefer the FREE clear step-by-step rules to our number prediction tricks, the secret is HERE.
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  #2  
Old 08-04-2007, 10:19 PM
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GillesD GillesD is offline
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Delta numbers

Oh boy, here it goes again.

gmac78, go back to postings a few years back and you will find a few threads on the Delta theory (with a few of my postings).

I keep a file with the Delta values for the Canadian Lotto 6/49 and their distribution. Not because I believe in this theory but because it was fun calculating these values and the file is automatically updated as new draws are entered in my database.

So if you want hard facts to prove (and most likely disprove) your theory, let me know.

Here are a few facts after 2455 draws:
- a delta of 1 occured in 12.1% of the cases (1786 times) but never 6 times in a single draw;
- deltas of 5 and lower occured 49.3% of the cases (7263 times);
- deltas of 30 and higher occured in 0.3% of the cases (46 times) but obviously never twice in the same draw;
- the maximum sum for deltas is 49 and it has occured in 12.3% of the draws(301 times)
- sums of deltas equal or higher than 45 occured in 51.0% of the draws (1253 times);
- once all the deltas in a draw were equal or lower than 4 and 3 times they were equal or lower than 5.

And also for your information, the actual values fairly well follow the theorical values than can be expected for all 13,983,816 combinations.
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  #3  
Old 08-05-2007, 12:03 AM
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ferrabi ferrabi is offline
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hi gmac

i have heard this before also, i read up on it a few years back on some website (can't remember it though) it is interesting that there is a pattern to it. but i don't think its any easier picking deltas because you still don't know from which number to pick. picking the delta is easier but not the actual lotto number, but it could be used in some program perhaps as a criteria that could help maybe in a wheel systems.
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  #4  
Old 08-05-2007, 10:12 AM
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veronica veronica is offline
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lotto 649

Won $ 10 on a insta pick. Had 3 numbers. Hope to win more next time.
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  #5  
Old 08-05-2007, 04:33 PM
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gmac78 gmac78 is offline
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GillesD,

Although Delta numbering doesnt reduce your odds by a significant amount, it at least shows you that, indeed, spacing between winning numbers are usually less than 8 digits away.

thanks for your comments though. I will have a look at previous threads for more details.

cheers
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  #6  
Old 08-05-2007, 10:24 PM
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GillesD GillesD is offline
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Delta distribution

gmac78

Here is the distribution of deltas after 2456 draws of the Canadian Lotto 6/49. The information is given in the following order: delta value / # times it occured / relative percentage / cumulative percentage;

01 -- 1787 -- 12.1% -- 12.1%
02 -- 1638 -- 11.1% -- 23.2%
03 -- 1432 -- 09.7% -- 33.0%
04 -- 1285 -- 08.7% -- 41.7%
05 -- 1123 -- 07.6% -- 49.3%
06 -- 1003 -- 06.8% -- 56.1%
07 -- 0883 -- 06.0% -- 62.1%
08 -- 0784 -- 05.3% -- 67.4%
09 -- 0695 -- 04.7% -- 72.1%
10 -- 0599 -- 04.1% -- 76.2%
11 -- 0512 -- 03.5% -- 79.7%
12 -- 0491 -- 03.3% -- 83.0%
13 -- 0435 -- 03.0% -- 86.0%
14 -- 0324 -- 02.2% -- 88.2%
15 -- 0293 -- 02.0% -- 90.1%
16 -- 0283 -- 01.9% -- 92.1%
17 -- 0205 -- 01.4% -- 93.5%
18 -- 0183 -- 01.2% -- 94.7%
19 -- 0153 -- 01.0% -- 95.7%
20 -- 0121 -- 00.8% -- 96.6%
21 -- 0100 -- 00.7% -- 97.2%
22 -- 0083 -- 00.6% -- 97.8%
23 -- 0069 -- 00.5% -- 98.3%
24 -- 0053 -- 00.4% -- 98.6%
25 -- 0046 -- 00.3% -- 98.9%
26 -- 0034 -- 00.2% -- 99.2%
27 -- 0038 -- 00.3% -- 99.4%
28 -- 0022 -- 00.1% -- 99.6%
29 -- 0016 -- 00.1% -- 99.7%
30 -- 0016 -- 00.1% -- 99.8%
31 -- 0007 -- 00.0% -- 99.8%
32 -- 0008 -- 00.1% -- 99.9%
33 -- 0003 -- 00.0% -- 99.9%
34 -- 0003 -- 00.0% -- 99.9%
35 -- 0002 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
36 -- 0002 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
37 -- 0002 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
38 -- 0002 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
39 -- 0001 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
40 -- 0000 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
41 -- 0000 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
42 -- 0000 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
43 -- 0000 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
44 -- 0000 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
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  #7  
Old 08-06-2007, 01:35 AM
roger.www roger.www is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by veronica
Won $ 10 on a insta pick. Had 3 numbers. Hope to win more next time.
Good for ya..... but what's this got to do with delta #s !!!

-----------------------------------------------------------

btw I do beleieve delta #s have some value. Actually I have the software.
I use it from time to time to generate samples for wheeling etc.
For lotteries like Keno where the numbers drawn are large
the theory might even be more useful..
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  #8  
Old 08-06-2007, 06:25 PM
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veronica veronica is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by roger.www
Good for ya..... but what's this got to do with delta #s !!!

-----------------------------------------------------------

btw I do beleieve delta #s have some value. Actually I have the software.
I use it from time to time to generate samples for wheeling etc.
For lotteries like Keno where the numbers drawn are large
the theory might even be more useful..


roger,


what software or website do you use for numbers?
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  #9  
Old 08-07-2007, 09:47 AM
Jack Pot Jack Pot is offline
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gmac78

Would be nice if you can give us your best 20 to 25 numbers (or less) for the next draw/s. This way we can compare with LT's and others.
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  #10  
Old 08-08-2007, 08:56 AM
Bertil Bertil is offline
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Delta numbers

Quote:
Originally Posted by GillesD
gmac78

Here is the distribution of deltas after 2456 draws of the Canadian Lotto 6/49. The information is given in the following order: delta value / # times it occured / relative percentage / cumulative percentage;

01 -- 1787 -- 12.1% -- 12.1%
02 -- 1638 -- 11.1% -- 23.2%
03 -- 1432 -- 09.7% -- 33.0%
04 -- 1285 -- 08.7% -- 41.7%
05 -- 1123 -- 07.6% -- 49.3%
06 -- 1003 -- 06.8% -- 56.1%
07 -- 0883 -- 06.0% -- 62.1%
08 -- 0784 -- 05.3% -- 67.4%
09 -- 0695 -- 04.7% -- 72.1%
10 -- 0599 -- 04.1% -- 76.2%
11 -- 0512 -- 03.5% -- 79.7%
12 -- 0491 -- 03.3% -- 83.0%
13 -- 0435 -- 03.0% -- 86.0%
14 -- 0324 -- 02.2% -- 88.2%
15 -- 0293 -- 02.0% -- 90.1%
16 -- 0283 -- 01.9% -- 92.1%
17 -- 0205 -- 01.4% -- 93.5%
18 -- 0183 -- 01.2% -- 94.7%
19 -- 0153 -- 01.0% -- 95.7%
20 -- 0121 -- 00.8% -- 96.6%
21 -- 0100 -- 00.7% -- 97.2%
22 -- 0083 -- 00.6% -- 97.8%
23 -- 0069 -- 00.5% -- 98.3%
24 -- 0053 -- 00.4% -- 98.6%
25 -- 0046 -- 00.3% -- 98.9%
26 -- 0034 -- 00.2% -- 99.2%
27 -- 0038 -- 00.3% -- 99.4%
28 -- 0022 -- 00.1% -- 99.6%
29 -- 0016 -- 00.1% -- 99.7%
30 -- 0016 -- 00.1% -- 99.8%
31 -- 0007 -- 00.0% -- 99.8%
32 -- 0008 -- 00.1% -- 99.9%
33 -- 0003 -- 00.0% -- 99.9%
34 -- 0003 -- 00.0% -- 99.9%
35 -- 0002 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
36 -- 0002 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
37 -- 0002 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
38 -- 0002 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
39 -- 0001 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
40 -- 0000 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
41 -- 0000 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
42 -- 0000 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
43 -- 0000 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
44 -- 0000 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
Gilles, deltas are similar to but not the same as gaps or skips, which count
only five numbers per game and also counts the difference between pairs as 0Would you be able to convert your deltas to gaps?

Bertil
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  #11  
Old 08-09-2007, 10:35 AM
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Gaps instead of Deltas

Luckily for you Bertil, my spreadsheet was built in such a way that I could generate a table of Gaps simply by omitting the initial number from the parameter in the FREQUENCY function I used to calculate the data for Deltas. So here is the values you requested.

01 -- 1485 -- 12.1% -- 12.1%
02 -- 1383 -- 11.3% -- 23.3%
03 -- 1204 -- 09.8% -- 33.1%
04 -- 1051 -- 08.6% -- 41.7%
05 -- 0946 -- 07.7% -- 49.4%
06 -- 0848 -- 06.9% -- 56.3%
07 -- 0723 -- 05.9% -- 62.2%
08 -- 0662 -- 05.4% -- 67.6%
09 -- 0572 -- 04.7% -- 72.2%
10 -- 0494 -- 04.0% -- 76.3%
11 -- 0410 -- 03.3% -- 79.6%
12 -- 0408 -- 03.3% -- 82.9%
13 -- 0371 -- 03.0% -- 85.9%
14 -- 0283 -- 02.3% -- 88.2%
15 -- 0250 -- 02.0% -- 90.3%
16 -- 0236 -- 01.9% -- 92.2%
17 -- 0166 -- 01.4% -- 93.5%
18 -- 0151 -- 01.2% -- 94.8%
19 -- 0121 -- 01.0% -- 95.8%
20 -- 0096 -- 00.8% -- 96.5%
21 -- 0083 -- 00.7% -- 97.2%
22 -- 0068 -- 00.6% -- 97.8%
23 -- 0054 -- 00.4% -- 98.2%
24 -- 0047 -- 00.4% -- 98.6%
25 -- 0041 -- 00.3% -- 98.9%
26 -- 0028 -- 00.2% -- 99.2%
27 -- 0034 -- 00.3% -- 99.4%
28 -- 0018 -- 00.1% -- 99.6%
29 -- 0013 -- 00.1% -- 99.7%
30 -- 0013 -- 00.1% -- 99.8%
31 -- 0005 -- 00.0% -- 99.8%
32 -- 0007 -- 00.1% -- 99.9%
33 -- 0003 -- 00.0% -- 99.9%
34 -- 0003 -- 00.0% -- 99.9%
35 -- 0002 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
36 -- 0002 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
37 -- 0002 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
38 -- 0001 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
39 -- 0001 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
40 -- 0000 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
41 -- 0000 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
42 -- 0000 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
43 -- 0000 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%
44 -- 0000 -- 00.0% -- 100.0%

The data is in the same order as listed previously (gap value / # times it occured / relative percentage / cumulative percentage) but take note that it now covers 2457 draws with yesterday's draw.

I think I will add this statistic to my file with a graph showing the Gap distribution and comparison with expected values.
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Old 08-09-2007, 03:51 PM
Bertil Bertil is offline
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Delta vs Gap numbers

Thank you for new data. At first glance I'm puzzled by the near identical %
inspite of the difference in absolute values for each "spread". They seem to
differ by around 20%. But then I realized the total for deltas must differ from
the totals for gaps. Perhaps you might tell us what the totals were for each.

Bertil
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Old 08-09-2007, 04:53 PM
prometheus prometheus is offline
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Lotto Number Combinator Calculator

Hello GillesD,

Awhile back you created a Lotto Number Combinator Calculator for another member of the forum and I was hoping that I could get a copy of this program as well to be used in my Excel.

Because I'm not too familiar with the programming aspects of it all, is there some way that you could provide me with a download link or something so that I could just install it onto my computer? GillesD, I will be forever grateful to you for doing this. Thank you a million times over. Also, let me know if you need my e-mail address.

prometheus


P.S. Here is a copy of the old message from another member to addressed to you requesting your help.


Number Combination Calculator Help Please
________________________________________
Fellow forum Members,
My goal is to combine a series of numbers such as 2,4,5,8,1,6,34,13,15 into all possible combinations. I want to have the ability to input whatever series of numbers I want and then have a list generated that will show all of the possible combinations as 2 columned number sets or 3 columned number sets or 4 columned number sets. What I need is a number combination calculator.
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Old 08-09-2007, 10:36 PM
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GillesD GillesD is offline
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Deltas and Gaps

Bertil, you have to remember that with 2457 draws, you have 14,742 deltas but only 12,285 gaps, a 20% increase.
The range for the sum of deltas can go from 6 to 49 but for the sum of gaps, it can go from 5 to 48.
The distributions for the sums are also somewhat different. For deltas, the number of sums iincreases slowly and the peak is obtained at 49, but for gaps, the number of sums also increases slowly but reaches its peak at 40 and then decreases rapidly. This pattern was found to be similar when checking all possible combinations.

Now for the raw data for sums, the following table gives you:
- the delta or gap sum value (5-49);
- the number of sums for deltas with that value and its relative percentage;
- the number of sums for gaps with that value and its relative percentage.

05 -- N/A --- N/A --- 000 -- 00.0%
06 -- 000 -- 00.0% -- 000 -- 00.0%
07 -- 000 -- 00.0% -- 000 -- 00.0%
08 -- 000 -- 00.0% -- 002 -- 00.1%
09 -- 000 -- 00.0% -- 000 -- 00.0%
10 -- 000 -- 00.0% -- 000 -- 00.0%
11 -- 000 -- 00.0% -- 002 -- 00.1%
12 -- 000 -- 00.0% -- 002 -- 00.1%
13 -- 001 -- 00.0% -- 007 -- 00.3%
14 -- 000 -- 00.0% -- 007 -- 00.3%
15 -- 000 -- 00.0% -- 004 -- 00.2%
16 -- 000 -- 00.0% -- 012 -- 00.5%
17 -- 000 -- 00.0% -- 010 -- 00.4%
18 -- 001 -- 00.0% -- 015 -- 00.6%
19 -- 002 -- 00.1% -- 017 -- 00.7%
20 -- 003 -- 00.1% -- 024 -- 01.0%
21 -- 002 -- 00.1% -- 029 -- 01.2%
22 -- 001 -- 00.0% -- 035 -- 01.4%
23 -- 004 -- 00.2% -- 035 -- 01.4%
24 -- 002 -- 00.1% -- 042 -- 01.7%
25 -- 005 -- 00.2% -- 062 -- 02.5%
26 -- 006 -- 00.2% -- 054 -- 02.2%
27 -- 010 -- 00.4% -- 063 -- 02.6%
28 -- 012 -- 00.5% -- 057 -- 02.3%
29 -- 020 -- 00.8% -- 073 -- 03.0%
30 -- 016 -- 00.7% -- 091 -- 03.7%
31 -- 023 -- 00.9% -- 097 -- 03.9%
32 -- 024 -- 01.0% -- 104 -- 04.2%
33 -- 032 -- 01.3% -- 102 -- 04.2%
34 -- 032 -- 01.3% -- 104 -- 04.2%
35 -- 057 -- 02.3% -- 113 -- 04.6%
36 -- 053 -- 02.2% -- 136 -- 05.5%
37 -- 060 -- 02.4% -- 124 -- 05.0%
38 -- 068 -- 02.8% -- 110 -- 04.5%
39 -- 077 -- 03.1% -- 141 -- 05.7%
40 -- 107 -- 04.4% -- 148 -- 06.0%
41 -- 115 -- 04.7% -- 137 -- 05.6%
42 -- 137 -- 05.6% -- 117 -- 04.8%
43 -- 161 -- 06.6% -- 126 -- 05.1%
44 -- 171 -- 07.0% -- 090 -- 03.7%
45 -- 205 -- 08.3% -- 072 -- 02.9%
46 -- 212 -- 08.6% -- 058 -- 02.4%
47 -- 284 -- 11.6% -- 035 -- 01.4%
48 -- 252 -- 10.3% -- 000 -- 00.0%
49 -- 302 -- 12.3% -- N/A -- N/A
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  #15  
Old 08-09-2007, 10:44 PM
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GillesD GillesD is offline
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Lotto Number Combinator Calculator

prometheus

I will look at what you ask but most likely, my answer was a macro in VBA. I have no problem posting my macros here as I learned a few tricks looking and using macros posted here by other members and I hope others do the same using my macros.

I can place my file with the Lotto Number Combinator Calculator in a free directory somewhere on the net and you can retrieve it but I am not sure this would help you more than posting my macro here.
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